The Fed Trader

[...] negative returns in September, a month that I was in G-Fund for the entire time, as were many Fed Trader followers. It should be additionally noted that last week, Thursday 10-02, and Friday 10-03, [...]

[...] - Bill Pritchard The post Oct 10 Update: SP 500’s worst week in 2 years appeared first on The Fed Trader. [...]

[...] … - Bill Pritchard The post Oct 15 AM Update – Going to be a rough day…. appeared first on The Fed Trader. [...]

[...] ! - Bill Pritchard The post Oct 16 AM Update–Dow futures down 100+ points appeared first on The Fed Trader. [...]

[...] 100% to G-Fund. Since then, the markets have really done nothing.  Sure, they trended up, on average volume, and just as everyone was thinking about getting back into the action, on Friday April 25, [...]

[...] an understanding of why volume is so important…) , the new highs were on below average volume, and then things broke down and deteriorated.  The SP 500 then broke down thru its support [...]

[...] rallied strong both days, with the Dow Jones making triple digit gains on both days, on above average volume.   These are very positive and bullish signs, reflecting a possible reversal of the trend [...]

[...] looking at the indexes.  However the ATH “buy signal” must, or almost-must, always have above average volume with it. Above average volume is reflective that the underlying event (the ATH), is [...]

[...] made on May 23, may or may not repeat the same behavior, as it too, was attained on low volume. What we are looking for is the following criteria before any confidence can begin [...]

[...] in accumulating additional stocks. Yes, the index has climbed upward, however this is on low volume (#2) and my opinion is the “new uptrend” is suspect 4540 NASDAQ and 1983 SP 500 are the levels [...]

[...] few days later.   Can we trickle ourselves into a new uptrend ?   A little each day on low volume ?   Well I suppose anything is possible however historical studies have shown that all [...]

[...] (movement which indeed triggered “new highs” but more things needed to be considered), on low volume, witnessed a clear behavior change today. The past two weeks have seen the small cap stocks (S- [...]

[...] ?   Who would have guessed ?   Middle East problems and instability. First, my TSP Allocation remains 100% S-Fund.   Many subscribers will read that and stop there, and that [...]

[...] and other market investors who desire to improve their knowledge and performance. My TSP Allocation remains 100% S-Fund. Everybody have a great July 4 holiday ! - Bill Pritchard The post June [...]

[...] of everyone else, usually with profitable results. Lets cut to the chase, I am moving my TSP Allocation to 50% S-Fund and 50% C-Fund.   I am not going fully 100% C-Fund because I think (my opinion) [...]

[...] over the weekend, with special attention on last week.  Long story short, I am changing my TSP Allocation to 100% S-Fund. Bottom line, is volumes have indeed returned to the point where I am  [...]

[...] this past week’s events are that our two consecutive 200+ point gains in the Dow Jones Index, which occurred this past week, occurred previously the only other time was six [...]

[...] anyone will argue the statement that the world is in challenging times right now. The Dow Jones Index closed down 317 points, with both the Dow and SP 500 Indexes down for the month of [...]

[...] this” category, today the market’s engine lost a few more cylinders, with the Dow Jones index dropping 250 points in one day (we have approx 2 hours left to go….present time is [...]

[...] of trading for the year.   Unfortunately, the markets closed down today, with the Dow Jones Index down 160 points.   The SP 500’s December gains were erased as a result of today’s [...]

[...] April 24 and April 30 was nothing earth shattering anyway…. NOTE:  On May 1, 2014, Investors Business Daily newspaper went ahead and affirmed that stalling was indeed occurring on the NASDAQ index. [...]

[...] had another Distribution Day in the markets, and according to the folks over at Investors Business Daily, we are at 7 Distribution Days for the NASDAQ and 6 days for the SP 500.   I [...]

[...] .   My own studies, combined with research and studies performed by the folks at Investors Business Daily, reflect that after four or five days of Distribution over a span of four to five weeks, [...]

[...] trading session, qualifies as a Follow Thru Day (FTD), per the authors of Investors Business Daily.   Since we don’t have the volume criteria met, today did not qualify as an FTD [...]

[...] my primary market indicator, the SP 500, having been addressed, lets take a look at the NASDAQ Index.  As I have mentioned before, the NASDAQ tends to be tech-heavy, and if Apple Computer [...]

[...] the Biotech sector.   Observe that these stocks are all NASDAQ stocks, and as such, the NASDAQ index will reflect a little more pain than the other indexes.   Time will tell regarding how [...]

[...] Daily newspaper went ahead and affirmed that stalling was indeed occurring on the NASDAQ index.  The SP 500 was not mentioned. With that said, I remain 100% G-Fund.   In the current [...]

[...] TSP and stock portfolios. We need to see: 1.  +1.7% Gain or better on the SP 500 or NASDAQ index (after the market closes for the day) 2.  On volume ABOVE/HIGHER than the prior session [...]

[...] get the idea…. Happy Halloween and talk to everyone soon… - Bill Pritchard The post Oct 29, 2014 PM Update appeared first on The Fed Trader. [...]

[...] TSP Allocation change request into TSP site). Thank You everyone - Bill Pritchard The post Nov 2 PM Update / 100% S-Fund appeared first on The Fed Trader. [...]

[...] “bear market” mode.  This index tracks small cap stocks and behaves very similar to the TSP S-Fund. Observers will query me,  “But we have made new highs”.   Well, yes, made them, only to [...]

[...] few days.   It should be noted that a frequently used Small-Cap Index, the Russell 2000 (the TSP S-Fund will behave very close to this index), is already below its 200-day Moving Average, which is a [...]

[...] with varsity level equipment at their disposal (Surface to Air missiles).   This is a TSP site, not a political one, so I will stop there.  I commented on a previous IL-76 cargo plane [...]

[...] again, I am 100% S-Fund as of November 2, 2014 (date of TSP Allocation change request into TSP site). Thank You everyone - Bill Pritchard The post Nov 2 PM Update / 100% S-Fund appeared first on [...]